empty
22.11.2018 01:18 PM
Analysis of the oil market. "Black Gold" after yesterday's fall comes to life

January futures for Brent oil added 1.51% and cost 63.48 dollars.

The cost of futures for WTI crude oil in January rose by 2.22%, amounting to 54.62 dollars.

The spread between the current contracts for Brent and WTI oil is about $ 8.2 in favor of the first.

On the eve of the cost of oil rose, driven mostly by purchases in anticipation of a pullback after Tuesday's reduction by 6%. The cost of Brent consolidated around 63-63.5 dollars per barrel after Tuesday's minimum of 61.7 dollars. The current range is limited to the levels of 61.7 and 64.5 dollars. When you exit the range, you should pay attention to the situation. It is likely that this technical signal will provide an opportunity to assume further dynamics.

This image is no longer relevant

Low prices attract speculators who seek to catch the "bottom". However, it's too early to talk about a full reversal, as the news background continues to retain a negative connotation.

Today, the market's attention has attracted Donald Trump's joyful announcement on Twitter. The American president thanked Saudi Arabia for the low cost of oil and called for its even lowering.

"Oil prices getting lower. Great! Like a big tax cut for America and the World. Enjoy! $ 54, was just $ 82. Thank you to Saudi Arabia, but let's go power" - Donald J. Trump.

Earlier, a number of media outlets, citing their sources, said that at the next meeting in Vienna on December 6, OPEC + countries will discuss a decline in production by 1.4-1.5 million barrels per day in order to avoid the threat of surplus and support the cost of oil. At the same time, the market does not yet lay these expectations in the quotes. Also, there were no statements from state representatives, and the current balance of forces makes one doubt that all parties to the transaction can quickly come to an agreement.

Oil futures with delivery in 18 months are again traded in contango to contracts with the nearest delivery. The last time such a situation could be observed briefly last week after a strong decline, and before that, there was a long period of backwardation.

Contango says that the market assesses current price levels as lower than the average value in a year and a half. So far, the excess of long-term contracts is insignificant, but the fact itself can already have an impact on the speculators' view of the market.

Today, the current data on weekly oil reserves in the United States from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) came out. Commercial stocks of crude oil rose again, despite the fact that the data from the API showed a decrease a day earlier. Last week, growth was 4.85 million barrels, which was higher than the expectations of experts, who predicted a growth of 2.94 million barrels. Total reserves in America amounted to 446.91 million barrels.

Exports of crude oil for the week fell by 81 thousand barrels per day, amounting to 1.97 million barrels. The volume of imports rose by 102 thousand barrels per day, to 7.55 million barrels per day.

According to EIA, gasoline inventories sank by 1.3 million barrels, commercial distillate inventories decreased by 0.08 million barrels. Refinery utilization rates rose to 92.7% from 90.1%. Oil production last week remained at the previous level of 11.7 million barrels per day.

The first reaction of the market to the statistics was negative, but the drawdown was quickly bought out. This morning, futures for Brent crude traded below yesterday's close by 0.3%.

Svetlana Doronina,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

El Bitcoin y altcoins al alza, gracias a los datos de inflación y la tregua temporal entre EE. UU. y China

El miércoles 14 de mayo de 2025, el mercado de criptomonedas respiró aliviado tras la publicación de unos datos de inflación más moderados en EE. UU. de lo que esperaban

Natalia Andreeva 13:33 2025-05-14 UTC+2

NRG Energy despega tras un acuerdo de $12 mil millones — ¿nuevos actores en el sector energético?

Índices al alza: Dow +2,81%, S&P 500 +3,26%, Nasdaq +4,35%, Las acciones superan a los activos refugio por distensión comercial Apple sube ante posibles aumentos de precios en iPhone Índice

12:10 2025-05-13 UTC+2

El Bitcoin en picado: primero conquista la cima, luego retrocede. Beneficio del acuerdo entre China y EE.UU.

El lunes 12 de mayo, el precio del Bitcoin superó los $104 000, alcanzando un pico de $105 000. Sin embargo, posteriormente la primera criptomoneda experimentó una caída. Además

Larisa Kolesnikova 11:09 2025-05-13 UTC+2

El oro está de capa caída: ¡sus precios han bajado! Contraataque del dólar y retirada del euro

A comienzos de esta semana, el metal amarillo cedió parte de sus posiciones, reaccionando al contexto geopolítico. Aun así, la demanda de oro se mantiene moderadamente alta, lo que permite

Larisa Kolesnikova 09:05 2025-05-12 UTC+2

Trump promete acuerdos ya esta semana: ¿en qué se traducirá esto para el dólar?

Durante el fin de semana, Trump insinuó posibles acuerdos comerciales ya esta semana. Como de costumbre, no hubo detalles concretos, pero las consecuencias no se hicieron esperar. El lunes

Аlena Ivannitskaya 08:28 2025-05-05 UTC+2

El Bitcoin presta atención a la opinión de la Fed. El ciclo actual del BTC no se parece a los anteriores

Según observaciones de analistas, el ciclo actual del Bitcoin es diferente a los anteriores. Los expertos atribuyen esto no solo a la volatilidad actual de la primera criptomoneda

Larisa Kolesnikova 14:18 2025-04-21 UTC+2

¿Sobrevivirá el índice S&P 500 bajo la "cruz de la muerte"?

Al amplio índice S&P 500 (SPX) le resulta cada vez más difícil mantenerse a flote. La volatilidad del mercado, que se dispara debido a la inestable situación geopolítica

Larisa Kolesnikova 08:14 2025-04-16 UTC+2

El mercado en zona roja: Dow -0,4%, Nasdaq -0,1% — los buenos informes no salvaron a Wall Street

Bank of America sube tras una mayor ganancia en el primer trimestre La incertidumbre sobre las perspectivas arancelarias sigue siendo alta Los mercados fluctúan por disputas entre

08:14 2025-04-16 UTC+2

Superando las previsiones: se pronostica que el oro subirá hasta los $3700. El dólar en desventaja, el euro al alza

El metal amarillo ha ocupado un lugar de honor entre los activos más demandados y no piensa detenerse en lo logrado. El precio del oro sigue creciendo con seguridad, superando

Larisa Kolesnikova 11:02 2025-04-14 UTC+2

El Bitcoin en confusión: el precio del BTC cae, luego sube ligeramente – ¡no encuentra un punto de apoyo!

La primera criptomoneda se encuentra en un estado de "descomposición": no logra encontrar un punto de apoyo. El Bitcoin está experimentando una volatilidad significativa, habiendo mostrado una caída esta semana

Larisa Kolesnikova 11:16 2025-04-10 UTC+2
¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.