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According to the first reading, second-quarter GDP contracted 0.2% following 0.5% growth in the first quarter. The reading was also below consensus forecasts of 0.0%. Year-on-year growth also slowed to 1.2% from 1.8% and below expectations of 1.4%. This was the first quarterly contraction since 2012.
Monthly industrial production declined marginally by 0.1% for June with an annual decline of 0.6% while manufacturing output dropped 1.4% over the year.
Business investment worsened for the quarter while a construction output fell in June. The only bright spot was a sharp narrowing of the trade deficit for June.
Markets expected a weak figure for the second quarter, but contraction of 0.2% will further erode market sentiment towards the economy.
In an immediate response, GBP/USD dipped just below 1.2100 not far from 34-month lows with EUR/GBP approaching 0.9250.
Political uncertainty is denting sterling's confidence with a strong market focus on the October 31st Brexit deadline.
Foreign Minister Raab reiterated that the UK would leave the EU on WTO terms if the EU refused to show flexibility on re-negotiation.
Market participants are speculating that if the government lost a no-confidence vote it would call for a General Election just after October 31st in order to secure a 'no-deal' Brexit while the parliament was not sitting.
Opposition parties continue their attempts to block such a policy and political tensions will intensify. Unless there is evidence of the UK or EU governments back-tracking and offering compromises, the sterling will remain vulnerable on political grounds.
A soft dollar tone will provide an element of GBP/USD protection and selling offers little immediate value, especially with a weak reading priced in, but there will be further selling interest on rallies.
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*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
El par de divisas GBP/USD continuó su movimiento hacia el norte el miércoles, aunque a primera vista no había razones claras para ello. Sí, el nivel de inflación (el único
El par de divisas EUR/USD continuó su movimiento ascendente durante el miércoles. El dólar estadounidense lleva cayendo sin pausa por más de una semana, algo que no sucedía en todo
El par de divisas GBP/USD continuó su crecimiento el miércoles, que había comenzado el martes. Recordemos que el martes el mercado no tenía ninguna razón de peso para deshacerse masivamente
El par de divisas EUR/USD continuó su recuperación durante el miércoles en un contexto de calendario macroeconómico absolutamente vacío. Ni siquiera destacamos el único informe del día sobre la inflación
El lunes, la moneda estadounidense se fortaleció considerablemente tras el éxito en la primera ronda de negociaciones entre EE. UU. y China, aunque, en esencia, ambas partes solo acordaron
El par de divisas EUR/USD estuvo prácticamente todo el martes en una tendencia alcista. Uno se acostumbra rápido a lo bueno, y el mercado claramente esperaba una continuación del fortalecimiento
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