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The euro and pound remain within the channels despite buyers' apparent desire for a more substantial correction. However, economic data that continue to favor the U.S. dollar are hindering this.
During the latest Federal Reserve meeting, economic indicators showed resilience despite ongoing challenges. Officials expressed confidence that a gradual reduction in interest rates might be appropriate, depending on developments in the labor market and consumer price dynamics. They emphasized that a "step-by-step" approach would help avoid sharp fluctuations and allow the economy to adapt to new conditions. However, the minutes did not boost confidence in a December rate cut, which supported the dollar against several risk assets.
Despite slowing inflation, it remains above target levels, necessitating a cautious approach to future monetary policy. Officials stressed the importance of maintaining a balance between stimulating economic growth and controlling inflationary risks. This cautious stance reflects the Federal Reserve's intent to act predictably and thoughtfully, bolsters investor and trader confidence.
Today, the only significant release from the eurozone is the German Consumer Climate Index, a leading indicator of public sentiment. While important, it is unlikely to impact the forex market substantially. As such, further attempts by euro and other risk asset buyers to continue this week's observed upward correction are expected.
The Mean Reversion strategy is recommended if eurozone data matches economists' expectations. If data significantly exceeds or falls short of expectations, the Momentum strategy would be more effective.
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