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09.11.2022 10:48 AM
Ramalan dagangan pasangan mata wang USD/JPY pada 9 November 2022

Yen telah melengkapkan program minimum dalam permainan berbanding dolar AS - mencapai sokongan penting - kawasan di mana indikator garis MACD bersilang dengan garis saluran harga pada carta harian. Garis MACD kini berada pada tahap 145.33, oleh itu, untuk menembusi harga untuk mencapai sasaran 141.70, ia sepatutnya menetap di bawah tahap ini. Jika idea itu gagal, maka dengan pembalikan harga daripada sokongan yang dicapai, kita akan melihat perkembangan rintangan pada tahap 147.63.

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Data ekonomi hari ini memberikan sokongan untuk penurunan dolar dan kenaikan yen. Imbangan pembayaran Jepun pada September meningkat daripada 0.694 trilion yen (dan disemak semula dengan ketara menaik daripada 0.059 trilion) kepada 0.909 trilion, pinjaman bank pada bulan Oktober meningkat daripada 2.3% y/y kepada 2.7% y/y. Dan di China, CPI menunjukkan penurunan (iaitu, normalisasi) daripada 2.8% y/y kepada 2.1% y/y.

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Menurut carta empat jam, harga cuba untuk bergerak di bawah tahap sokongan 145.33. Marlin Oscillator perlahan-lahan tetapi pasti bergerak lebih rendah ke dalam wilayah pertumbuhan harga. Kelebihan senario memihak kepada penurunan harga.

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