empty
22.11.2018 01:18 PM
Analysis of the oil market. "Black Gold" after yesterday's fall comes to life

January futures for Brent oil added 1.51% and cost 63.48 dollars.

The cost of futures for WTI crude oil in January rose by 2.22%, amounting to 54.62 dollars.

The spread between the current contracts for Brent and WTI oil is about $ 8.2 in favor of the first.

On the eve of the cost of oil rose, driven mostly by purchases in anticipation of a pullback after Tuesday's reduction by 6%. The cost of Brent consolidated around 63-63.5 dollars per barrel after Tuesday's minimum of 61.7 dollars. The current range is limited to the levels of 61.7 and 64.5 dollars. When you exit the range, you should pay attention to the situation. It is likely that this technical signal will provide an opportunity to assume further dynamics.

This image is no longer relevant

Low prices attract speculators who seek to catch the "bottom". However, it's too early to talk about a full reversal, as the news background continues to retain a negative connotation.

Today, the market's attention has attracted Donald Trump's joyful announcement on Twitter. The American president thanked Saudi Arabia for the low cost of oil and called for its even lowering.

"Oil prices getting lower. Great! Like a big tax cut for America and the World. Enjoy! $ 54, was just $ 82. Thank you to Saudi Arabia, but let's go power" - Donald J. Trump.

Earlier, a number of media outlets, citing their sources, said that at the next meeting in Vienna on December 6, OPEC + countries will discuss a decline in production by 1.4-1.5 million barrels per day in order to avoid the threat of surplus and support the cost of oil. At the same time, the market does not yet lay these expectations in the quotes. Also, there were no statements from state representatives, and the current balance of forces makes one doubt that all parties to the transaction can quickly come to an agreement.

Oil futures with delivery in 18 months are again traded in contango to contracts with the nearest delivery. The last time such a situation could be observed briefly last week after a strong decline, and before that, there was a long period of backwardation.

Contango says that the market assesses current price levels as lower than the average value in a year and a half. So far, the excess of long-term contracts is insignificant, but the fact itself can already have an impact on the speculators' view of the market.

Today, the current data on weekly oil reserves in the United States from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) came out. Commercial stocks of crude oil rose again, despite the fact that the data from the API showed a decrease a day earlier. Last week, growth was 4.85 million barrels, which was higher than the expectations of experts, who predicted a growth of 2.94 million barrels. Total reserves in America amounted to 446.91 million barrels.

Exports of crude oil for the week fell by 81 thousand barrels per day, amounting to 1.97 million barrels. The volume of imports rose by 102 thousand barrels per day, to 7.55 million barrels per day.

According to EIA, gasoline inventories sank by 1.3 million barrels, commercial distillate inventories decreased by 0.08 million barrels. Refinery utilization rates rose to 92.7% from 90.1%. Oil production last week remained at the previous level of 11.7 million barrels per day.

The first reaction of the market to the statistics was negative, but the drawdown was quickly bought out. This morning, futures for Brent crude traded below yesterday's close by 0.3%.

Svetlana Doronina,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

Rangkuman Berita Pasar AS untuk 14 Mei

Saham IBM terus naik, didukung oleh sinyal grafik teknikal yang menunjukkan potensi pergerakan menuju level $265,90. Para investor menunjukkan minat pada saham perusahaan ini, didukung oleh kinerja perusahaan yang kuat

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:40 2025-05-14 UTC+2

Eropa dalam zona hijau, The Fed di bawah tekanan: para trader percaya pada pemotongan suku bunga

Penghentian tarif AS-Tiongkok meningkatkan sentimen, tetapi kekhawatiran tetap ada Saham Eropa naik untuk sesi keempat berturut-turut, dan saham global juga meningkat Para trader bertaruh pada pemotongan suku bunga oleh

Thomas Frank 11:07 2025-05-14 UTC+2

Rangkuman Berita Pasar AS untuk 8 Mei 2025. Indeks saham AS ditutup lebih tinggi karena optimisme kesepakatan dagang

Indeks saham utama AS mengakhiri sesi dengan kenaikan, didukung oleh pernyataan dari Donald Trump yang menunjukkan kemajuan dalam negosiasi mengenai perjanjian perdagangan besar. Pasar menafsirkan retorika ini sebagai sinyal positif

Ekaterina Kiseleva 14:00 2025-05-08 UTC+2

Emas Turun, Saham Anjlok: Apa Kesamaan India, Jerman, dan The Fed

Saham-saham mengalami penurunan karena kesepakatan tarif yang terhenti menjelang keputusan The Fed. Emas mengalami penurunan karena pembicaraan baru antara AS dan Tiongkok. Inggris dan India telah mencapai kesepakatan perdagangan besar

12:36 2025-05-07 UTC+2

Rangkuman Berita Pasar AS untuk 7 Mei

Indeks saham utama AS ditutup di wilayah negatif, dengan S&P 500 turun 0,8% di tengah ketidakpastian yang meningkat tentang kebijakan perdagangan dan antisipasi komentar baru dari Federal Reserve. Pasar menunjukkan

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:20 2025-05-07 UTC+2

Emas Turun, Saham Anjlok: Apa yang Dimiliki India, Jerman, dan The Fed Secara Bersama

Saham jatuh karena kurangnya kesepakatan tarif menjelang keputusan kebijakan Fed; Emas turun karena harapan untuk pembicaraan dagang AS-Tiongkok; Inggris, India mencapai kesepakatan dagang setelah pembicaraan selama 3 tahun; Merz dari

Thomas Frank 07:05 2025-05-07 UTC+2

Rangkuman Berita Pasar AS untuk 6 Mei 2025

Pasar saham AS memulai minggu ini dengan gejolak. Saham Berkshire Hathaway diperdagangkan di bawah tekanan setelah Warren Buffett mengundurkan diri sebagai CEO. Para investor khawatir tentang masa depan perusahaan tersebut

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:52 2025-05-06 UTC+2

$9 Miliar untuk Skechers, indeks menurun, dan lonjakan saham Asia

Berkshire Hathaway mengalami penurunan setelah Warren Buffett mengundurkan diri sebagai CEO. Sektor jasa AS menunjukkan pertumbuhan pada bulan April. Skechers melonjak setelah kesepakatan privatisasi senilai $9 miliar. Investor menantikan perjanjian

13:26 2025-05-06 UTC+2

Skechers $9M, Indeks Turun, Asia Melonjak: Hari yang Penuh Perubahan

Berkshire Hathaway Turun Setelah Buffett Mundur sebagai CEO Sektor Jasa AS Meningkat di Bulan April Skechers Melonjak Setelah Kesepakatan Privatisasi $9 Miliar Investor Menunggu Kesepakatan Dagang dengan Mitra AS Mata

Thomas Frank 07:41 2025-05-06 UTC+2

Rangkuman Berita Pasar AS untuk 17 Maret

Indeks saham AS, termasuk S&P 500 dan Nasdaq, mengakhiri minggu dengan percaya diri di wilayah positif. Hal ini sebagian besar disebabkan oleh perkembangan yang menggembirakan dalam pembicaraan dagang dengan Tiongkok

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:32 2025-05-05 UTC+2
Tidak bisa bicara sekarang?
Tanyakan pertanyaan anda lewat chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.