empty
17.06.2022 09:46 AM
GBP/USD analysis and forecast on June 17, 2022

Yesterday, the Bank of England raised the interest rate once again by 25 basis points as was widely expected by market participants. The increase came in line with the forecast, so the current rate stands at 1.25%. However, there is one more factor that greatly influenced the trajectory of the pound yesterday. It seems that not all the members of the UK central bank share the same view on monetary policy. The fact is that only 6 out of 9 members of the Monetary Policy Committee voted for raising the rate by 25 bps. Others urged to hike the rate by 50 bps. This means that amid rising inflation, the BoE's officials may become more hawkish at the next meeting. Therefore, I won't be surprised to see the UK regulator lift the rate by 50 bps at its next meeting. However, this decision will largely depend on the intensity of inflationary pressures and the macroeconomic indicators. So, let's wait and see. And now let's proceed with the analysis of the GBP/USD chart.

Daily chart

This image is no longer relevant

Yesterday's trading was highly volatile which is quite natural amid such an important event. The long lower shadow of yesterday's daily candlestick indicates that the market was trading mixed. There was a fierce fight between the two market forces and, apparently, the bulls won. The initial pressure on the British pound stopped at the strong technical level of 1.2040. Moreover, this is where a rapid trend reversal took place, and the pound started to rise. Those who are not new to the market know how the pound can rise. Yet, the same can be said about its declines. As a result of a strong upward movement, the price broke through the red Tenkan line, the key technical level of 1.2300, and the blue Kijun line of the Ichimoku indicator located near 1.2300, at 1.2298. Apart from this, bulls managed to close the session on June 16 above the first Fibonacci retracement level of 23.6 in the descending area of 1.3642-1.1932.

As I mentioned yesterday, a deeper correction was possible under this scenario. The pound is very good at performing corrections. At the moment of writing, the pound/dollar pair is slightly declining which can be a possible pullback to the Tenkan line broken yesterday. It is very likely that the pair may find strong support at this level and reverse back to the upside. If this is true, then you can consider opening long positions from the red Tenkan line. This recommendation is mainly for those who are eager to open new positions at the end of the trading week. I assume that the main trading activity today will be around the level of 1.2300 where market participants will fight for the closing price of the day and week. If the pound bulls manage to close the weekly session above this mark, the odds of a further rise in GBP/USD will become much higher. On Monday, we will analyze the outcome of the weekly trade and see who was the winner.

Good luck!

Ivan Aleksandrov,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

Trading Signals for EUR/USD for April 30, 2025: sell below 1.1376 (21 SMA - 7/8 Murray)

Early in the American session, the EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.1378 within the downtrend channel formed on April 17 and showing signs of exhaustion of bullish strength. A technical

Dimitrios Zappas 17:37 2025-04-30 UTC+2

Forex forecast 30/04/2025: EUR/USD, AUD/USD, USD/JPY, Gold, and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 16:31 2025-04-30 UTC+2

Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU/USD) for April 30, 2025: buy above $3,270 (21 SMA - 6/8 Murray)

Early in the American session, gold is trading around 3,384, above key support and rebounding after reaching 3,267. Gold is expected to regain strength if it consolidates above 3,381 (6/8

Dimitrios Zappas 15:07 2025-04-30 UTC+2

Forex forecast 29/04/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, Gold, Ethereum and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 08:41 2025-04-30 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of AUD/JPY Cross Currency Pairs, Wednesday April 30, 2025.

With the appearance of Divergent and Descending Broadening Wedge patterns on the 4-hour chart of the AUD/JPY cross currency pair, although its price movement is below the EMA (21) which

Arief Makmur 06:19 2025-04-30 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of USD/JPY Main Currency Pairs, Wednesday April 30, 2025.

On the 4-hour chart of the main currency pair USD/JPY, it can be seen that the Stochastic Oscillator indicator forms a Double Bottom pattern while the price movement of USD/JPY

Arief Makmur 06:17 2025-04-30 UTC+2

Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU/USD) for April 29-30, 2025: buy above $3,310 (21 SMA - 7/8 Murray)

Early in the American session, gold is trading around the 3,310 level, where it is located at the 21SMA and within a symmetrical triangle pattern formed on April 23. Consolidation

Dimitrios Zappas 18:10 2025-04-29 UTC+2

Trading Signals for EUR/USD for April 29-30, 2025: sell below 1.1410 (symmetrical triangle - 7/8 Murray)

Our trading plan for the coming hours is to sell below 1.1410 with targets at 1.1370 and 1.1230. The eagle indicator is giving a negative signal, so we believe

Dimitrios Zappas 17:52 2025-04-29 UTC+2

Forex forecast 28/04/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USDX, Gold and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 18:34 2025-04-28 UTC+2

Trading Signals for EUR/USD for April 28-30, 2025: sell below 1.1370 (21 SMA - 7/8 Murray)

On the other hand, if bearish pressure prevails and the euro consolidates below 1.1370, it could be seen as a sell signal with targets at the 6/8 Murray located

Dimitrios Zappas 16:29 2025-04-28 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.