週一,歐元下跌了14個點。嘗試向上反轉的努力已經出現。今天可能會有再度嘗試,且成功的機會更高,儘管1.0762的支撐位尚未被測試。
當然,價格反轉不一定必須精確地發生在現有支撐位,但其接近性增添了不確定性。同時,Marlin振盪器顯示出未觸及零線就有向上反轉的意圖。因此,歐元可能今日會開始新的多頭波浪,而不測試當前的支撐水平,或者經過小幅下跌至這些支撐後,在明天或後天發生這種情況。
在H4圖表上,Marlin振盪器在中性零線下方整固。這種整固狀態為價格進一步下跌至1.0762支撐位創造了條件。如果Marlin進入正區域,上行突破的可能性將顯著增加。關鍵的參考點是昨日的高點1.0859。我們正等待歐元下行修正結束,並恢復上升趨勢。
正如預期,美聯儲在昨天的會議後,維持其貨幣政策不變。Jerome Powell僅輕微地強化了市場對於通膨上升的預期。
在今天的會議上,英格蘭銀行預計將把基準利率從4.50%降至4.25%。商業媒體宣稱市場已經將此事件計入並已平靜下來。
USD/JPY 日線圖顯示,價格正在從綠色價格通道線處轉向下行。第一次此類反轉發生在5月2日,以紅色箭頭標示,而第二次反轉發生在今天交易時段開盤時,用藍色箭頭表示。
今天,英鎊/美元貨幣對從昨天的上升動能中回落。這次回撤受到美元溫和強勢的支撐。
图形图案
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