19.03.2025 10:41 AM
黃金的上升趨勢暫時停滯，試圖在$3,045左右的歷史新高附近整固，在聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）會議結果公佈之前，多頭暫時喘息。預計美聯儲將維持利率不變，保持在4.25%至4.50%的範圍內，這可能對美元價格走勢產生重大影響，從而影響黃金價格。由於預期利率將保持不變，焦點轉向更新的經濟預測以及美聯儲主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾在會後新聞發布會上的評論。他的言論可能提供有關未來降息路徑的線索，影響美元的走勢，並可能為黃金提供新的方向動力。
如果美聯儲表示可能降息，這可能支持黃金價格保持在高位，因為在經濟不確定時期，黃金傳統上被視為避險資產。
然而，今日美元走強可能限制黃金的上行潛力，尤其是在貿易政策和地緣政治緊張局勢的擔憂之下。
從技術角度來看，市場顯示出超買狀況的跡象，這由相對強弱指數（RSI）高於70所指出。這可能促使交易員謹慎行事，等待整固階段或回調後，再開新多頭頭寸。
如果發生回調，$3,005–$3,000附近的支撐位可能提供買入機會，額外的支撐位在$2,980–$2,978附近。跌破這些水平可能引發進一步下跌，向$2,956甚至$2,930方向發展，然後黃金可能再次測試上週的回調低點$2,900。
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