趨勢分析(圖1):
本週,市場可能會從1.0878水平(前一週蠟燭圖收盤價)初步向下移動至1.0835——即14.6%回撤水平(藍色虛線)。在測試這個水平後,預期價格將恢復其向上運動走勢,目標是1.1002——一個歷史阻力水平(藍色虛線)。
綜合分析:
預期EUR/USD貨幣對在本週將保持上升趨勢。週K線可能出現下影線(週一——向下波動)和上影線(週五——向下波動),顯示初始的疲軟後將恢復上漲趨勢。
替代情境:
如果價格從1.0878水平(上週收盤)向下移動,可能會指向1.0765——23.6%的回撤位(藍色虛線)。如果此水平被測試,價格可能恢復其上升趨勢,指向1.0947——上部分形水平(藍色虛線)。
截至週五,美元/加元匯率連續第二天承壓,這是由多種負面因素所引發的。 昨日,美國的宏觀經濟數據弱於預期,強化了市場對美聯儲進一步降息的預期,令美元多頭處於守勢。
在昨日相對平靜的市場中,儘管歐洲和美國發布了各種經濟數據,歐元依然上漲了13個點。至少,這確認了單一貨幣繼續上漲的意圖。
週五可能會標誌著連續第四天出現看跌(黑色)日K線。上次出現這種模式是在2月3日至6日。
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