11.03.2025 10:22 AM
油價正試圖從2024年9月以來的最低水平反彈。
然而，這種反彈在短期內不太可能持續。投資者仍然擔心唐納德·特朗普實施的關稅及其對燃料需求的影響所帶來的潛在經濟後果。同時，OPEC+已確認計劃從四月開始增加石油產量，這也對原油價格施加了重大壓力。
不過，由於特朗普警告稱如果烏克蘭戰爭不停止，可能對俄羅斯實施新的制裁，油價的下跌或許有限。
根據路透社的報導，美國也在考慮在莫斯科同意終止烏克蘭敵對行動的情況下緩解對俄羅斯能源部門的制裁。這已創造了市場的不確定性，影響了油價的變動。
此外，上週五發佈的美國就業報告低於預期，這加強了市場對美聯儲將在今年多次降息的預期。這使得美元接近自11月以來的最低水平，這可能為以美元計價的商品價格提供助力，從而有可能幫助限制原油價格的損失。
總體而言，石油市場依然緊張，投資者應密切關注與制裁相關的發展和政治新聞。
儘管近期油價下跌，交易員應注意RSI（相對強弱指數）接近超賣區域，而MACD指標已停止下跌。鑑於這些信號，空頭應謹慎開立新的空頭頭寸，而是應等待短期整合或暫時反彈後再進一步行動。
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