31.01.2025 01:48 PM
今天，NZD/USD 吸引了買盤，打破了三日連跌的走勢。然而，其上行潛力似乎有限。
股市普遍的正面基調阻止了美元從超過一個月低點更強烈的復甦，這支撐了對風險敏感的新西蘭元。然而，當前的反彈缺乏明確的基本面催化劑，可能在持續的看跌情緒中迅速消退。
美聯儲週三鷹派的按兵不動與新西蘭儲備銀行（RBNZ）的更積極政策寬鬆形成鮮明對比，在開立新的NZD/USD多頭頭寸之前需謹慎。對特朗普政府保護主義貿易關稅的持續擔憂進一步增加了不確定性。
此外，預期特朗普的政策可能推高通脹，導致美國國債收益率小幅反彈，這支撐了美元。因此，NZD/USD 在美國核心PCE物價指數發布前可能面臨阻力。
中性振盪器提示在建立新多頭頭寸前需謹慎。此外，14日EMA和9日EMA匯合為一條線，顯示橫盤走勢，強化了近期市場區間震盪的預期。
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