歐洲持續的經濟衰退,加上西方與俄羅斯在烏克蘭領土上的衝突,可能迫使歐洲中央銀行(ECB)下調利率,以緩解該地區的經濟損害。
在這種情況下,ECB的降息動作可能與日本央行加息的預期形成對比,這可能導致歐元/日元貨幣對的匯率顯著下跌。
隨著歐元對日元走弱,該貨幣對可能面臨賣壓,可能今天會下降,預計下週在ECB決定降息後會有進一步的下行空間。
技術面和交易建議:
價格目前位於布林帶的中線下方,低於5期和14期SMA,這兩者正交叉以發出賣出信號。RSI仍高於50%水準,但正接近該水準,若跌破,將作為額外的賣出信號。與此同時,隨機指標低於50%,但目前提供的洞察有限。
若跌破162.25水準,可能會導致顯著下跌至159.65水準。
昨日,歐元區4月份的ZEW經濟景氣指數令人失望。該指數從3月份的39.8暴跌至-18.5,遠低於預測的13.2。
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