在上週結束時,我們觀察到每週的盤整,形成了一條長的下影線,深入到了每週Ichimoku雲的邊界,位於156.07。賣方現在可能會試圖保持必要的主動來返回並在每週雲中盤整。要成功做到這一點,他們必須首先克服位於154.96和154.03之間的每日Ichimoku交叉,並重新奪回每週短期趨勢點153.76。
如果賣方不成功,而買方能夠繼續恢復他們的頭寸,那麼多頭將瞄準重新獲得每日短期趨勢的156.94,並目標是在158.89的修正區域之外移動,這使他們能夠恢復上升趨勢。突破158.89的最近高點將在每日和每週時間框架上恢復上升趨勢。為了讓價格回到每月趨勢運行中,它需要突破每月高點161.96。
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上週,EUR/JPY 貨幣對經歷了相當大的波動。週一,買家試圖接管市場並發起修正性反彈,但最終未能成功。賣家成功阻止了這次反彈,將價格推至新低,並收於關鍵支撐集群之下,並到達每日 Ichimoku 雲圖的下邊界 159.74。
週五,買家再次嘗試反攻,但週一的支撐集群已轉變為阻力,減緩了多頭的恢復。該阻力區現已由每日 Ichimoku 交叉強化,擴大至區間 160.51 到 162.46,其中特定水平為 160.51、160.90、161.15、161.38、161.73、162.08 和 162.46。
如果買家能夠突破這一阻力區域,可能引發更持久且顯著的多頭動能。相反,如果賣家在這些阻力水平維持他們的地位,他們將目標將價格推低至每日 Ichimoku 雲圖的159.65以下,瞄準月度中期趨勢支撐156.38。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
昨日,歐元區4月份的ZEW經濟景氣指數令人失望。該指數從3月份的39.8暴跌至-18.5,遠低於預測的13.2。
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