在美國交易時段早期,EUR/USD 貨幣對交易於 1.0807 附近,低於 21 個月的 SMA,並低於 +1/8 Murray 水準,顯示出疲軟跡象。
在 H4 圖表上,我們可以看到歐元在 3 月 12 日形成的看跌趨勢通道內交易,如果 EUR/USD 在 1.0815 以下鞏固,預計未來數小時內將繼續下跌。
如果歐元突破並鞏固在看跌趨勢通道之上,我們可以預期它在未來幾天達到 +1/8 Murray 水準即 1.0864。EUR/USD 甚至可能到達位於 +2/8 Murray 水準的 1.0986。
另一方面,如果在 1.0815 以下被拒絕,該工具可能恢復其看跌週期,並且我們可以預期歐元達到 8/8 Murray 的 1.0742,附近的 200 EMA 約為 1.0719,並最終達到下降趨勢通道的底部約 1.0670。
根據圖表,歐元接近超賣水平。因此,預期看漲週期的恢復。然而,在 1.0830 以下有強大的壓力,因此我們認為如果歐元回升,我們應期待其恢復到 1.0864 以上。然後,EUR/USD 可能攀升到 1.10 的心理水平。
我們為未來幾小時制定的交易計劃是將歐元在 1.0815 以下賣出,目標是 1.0670。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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