Japan's investors are cutting bets on a weaker yen, especially against Europe's major currencies, amid expectations that the country's central bank will inevitably normalize its ultra-loose policy.
Data from Tokyo Financial Exchange Inc.'s Click 365 shows individual investors cut euro-yen long positions to the lowest level since June 2021, while long positions on the pound against the Japanese currency fell to the lowest level since 2020.
This year, the yen has fallen more than 3% against the euro and more than 4% against the pound.
"A growing number of individuals see the yen rising on speculation of policy normalization by the new BoJ governor," said Tetsuya Yamaguchi, chief technical analyst at Fujitomi Securities Co. He also added that central banks could follow suit.
Although Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda hinted that any significant policy adjustments might be unlikely at this time, at his inaugural press conference on Monday, market participants still see a policy change as inevitable in the face of rising inflation.
週三將有大量的宏觀經濟事件安排,這些事件均為四月份服務業和製造業的採購經理人指數(PMI)報告。各個歐洲國家,包括歐元區整體、英國及美國都將發布這些指數。
在週二,英鎊兌美元貨幣對交易相對平靜,再次顯示出「飽和平盤」的跡象。如之前指出,美國美元最近只有兩種表現:要麼下跌,要麼持平。
EUR/USD貨幣對在星期二的交易比星期一稍顯平靜。美國美元避免了再一次的下跌,但現在慶祝還為時過早。
美元兌日圓(USD/JPY)貨幣對已連續四周處於穩定的下跌趨勢中。週二,賣方將該貨幣對推至139.00區域的邊緣,創下七個月以來的最低價位。
在超買情況下,金價創下歷史新高至3500美元後,目前出現回調。然而,由於對唐納德·特朗普總統關稅政策潛在經濟影響的持續擔憂,多頭情緒依然強勁。
歐元/英鎊貨幣對今日下跌,結束先前連續兩日的上漲,目前交易於接近心理水平0.8600的位置。 英鎊受到了美國與英國持續貿易談判樂觀情緒的支持。
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