EURUSD yet again managed to rally and print an intraday high around 1.1010 on Thursday. The single currency pair is seen to be trading close to 1.0990 at this point in writing as the bears prepare to come back in control soon. The last wave higher has been accompanied by bearish divergence on lower-degree timeframes. Hence, the potential for a bearish reversal is high.
EURUSD is still carving a larger-degree corrective wave since February 2023 after hitting the 1.1035 high. It is either unfolding as a triangle or an expanded flat structure, which could drag prices lower towards 1.0700-50 at least and down to 1.0500 going forward. Once the corrective phase is complete, the bulls will be back in control and push the pair through 1.1200.
EURUSD has now managed to reach the Fibonacci 0.786 retracement of its recent downswing close to 1.1010 and is now easing off. A break below 1.0980 will be the first sign to confirm that a potential top is in place and the bears are back in control. If the above structure unfolds likewise, the currency pair will witness a roughly 400-pips drop in the next few weeks.
A potential bearish wave towards 1.0700 to resume soon.
Good luck!
在我上午的預測中,我注意到了1.1257這一水平,並計劃圍繞它制定進場決策。現在讓我們來看看5分鐘圖表,分析那裡發生了什麼情況。
週五沒有預計的宏觀經濟事件。基本面發展也將受到限制,但目前尚不清楚哪些因素影響價格形成。
歐元/美元貨幣對在週四展現出一個特別有趣的趨勢。提醒大家,聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)的會議結果是在週三晚上公佈的,我們再次將其視為鷹派。
在我早上的預測中,我側重於1.3286水平,並計劃以此作為市場進入的基礎。我們來看看5分鐘圖表並分析發生了什麼。
在早晨的預測中,我專注於1.1269這一水平,並計劃從該水平做出市場進入決策。讓我們看看5分鐘圖並分析發生了什麼。
週三,英鎊/美元(GBP/USD)匯率並未出現顯著波動。在傑羅姆·鮑威爾表示需要更多時間來評估特朗普關稅的完整經濟影響後,美元預測性地走強。
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