Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers urged the Federal Reserve to make it clear that even though it will drive up the unemployment rate, there is a need to tighten monetary policy to curb inflation.
He said he fears that the US central bank will continue to say it could achieve low inflation, low unemployment and a healthy economy, which would not only leave people uncertain about what lies ahead, but also cause damage to the credibility of the Fed. "The reality is that the Fed can't bring inflation down completely without rising unemployment," Summers stated. "They don't want to admit it, but it introduces a certain confusion in all their statements."
Summers has consistently criticized the Fed for predicting that unemployment will rise to just 4.1% by 2024, saying instead that it will likely need to overcome 5% from the 3.5% level seen in July. He also disagreed with Powell's assessment that the Fed's interest rate - from 2.25% to 2.5% today - is a "neutral level" when it does not contain or fuel inflation.
"I hope we get clarity that the policy is not yet restrictive, that it has to be restrictive if we are going to contain inflation, and that we need to accept the consequences of that," Summers said. He added that he hoped "that this message will be conveyed clearly and clearly."
Summers, who also served as director of the White House's National Economic Council, also pointed out that the recovery in financial markets since mid-June is effectively at odds with the Fed's inflation campaign. "They should be concerned that financial conditions are now significantly weaker than they were at the last Fed meeting," he noted. "When financial conditions weaken substantially in the middle of a tightening cycle, that should make the central bank nervous."
These statements did not cause much optimism because headline inflation has shown a decline. The consumer price index was also unchanged in July, while core prices, which exclude food and energy, rose 0.3%.
"I don't see us making any significant progress on core inflation," Summers said, pointing to continued strong wage growth. "We still have major inflation issues ahead."
「現在最好去買股票!多虧了白宮的貿易政策,美國將吸引10萬億美元的投資。這個國家會像火箭一樣直線上升。
英鎊因美英簽署貿易協議的消息而下跌。但仍有許多細節需要進一步澄清。
週四,EUR/USD 貨幣對繼續在小時圖清晰可見的橫盤通道內交易,幾乎直至晚上。如我們所警告的,美聯儲會議的結果沒有改變任何事情。
我定期關注三個中央銀行,它們代表了幾乎完全不同的貨幣政策方法。週四,英格蘭銀行下調了利率,理由是經濟增長放緩的擔憂。
大家已經有時間回顧最近美聯儲會議的結果。在這篇文章中,我想強調對美元來說的一些積極面,這些可能會在未來對美元有幫助。
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