There is a new bullish momentum in the gold market as the latest housing market data became the latest disappointing news on Thursday.
Ahead of this report, data showed that the US economy contracted 1.5% in the first quarter, slowing more than expected.
The US housing market continues to see a significant slowdown in growth as the number of consumers starting the process of buying a home dropped sharply in April, according to the latest report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR).
On Thursday, the association said its pending home sales index fell to 99.3 in April, down 3.9% from March. Economists had expected a decline of 1.9%.
Analysts are paying close attention to the expected home sales data because this index is seen as a forward-looking barometer of the market. There is usually a delay of a month or two between the conclusion of the contract and the completed sale.
The report notes that this is the sixth consecutive month of declining activity in the US housing market. Economists noted that consumers are being hurt by rising home prices and mortgage rates, causing many first-time homebuyers to exit the market.
For the year, pending home sales fell 9.1%. In the current environment, existing-home sales will fall by 9% this year.
This is another bad data for the US economy, due to which gold remains in demand for the time being.
目前,Donald Trump專注於推動他稱之為「大而美麗的法律」。在貿易戰中,Trump已經盡了一切可能—他徵收關稅,然後降低,並給予對手時間談判貿易協議。
在最近的評論中,我反覆討論了美聯儲的貨幣政策、市場預期以及我們所處的現實。我認為市場對於美聯儲放寬政策的期待仍然過於膨脹。
4月份的核心通脹出乎意料地高於預期,從2.2%上升到2.5%(按年計算)。總體通脹從2.3%下降到1.7%,略高於預測的數字。
眾議院通過了被Donald Trump稱為「大而美麗」的減稅法案,加上美國綜合採購經理指數(PMI)從50.6上升到52.1,幫助美元重新站穩腳跟。歐元兌美元匯率跌破了1.13。
澳洲央行(RBA)於週三將利率下調25個基點至3.85%,符合市場預期。在結束的新聞發布會上,RBA行長承認曾討論過下調50個基點的可能性。
黃金在達到近兩週的最高點後正在回落。此次回調缺乏明顯的基本面誘因,由於多個支持因素,預計這次回落將受到限制。
美元/加元貨幣對在嘗試從隔夜1.3815–1.3810水準反彈後遇到困難,顯示出一周來的跌勢可能持續。 油價在最近的回調後反彈,這也對加元提供了支持。
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