The US dollar index rose through fresh swing highs close to 108.30 during the Europe session on Tuesday. The index is quickly pulling back and is trading close to 108.90 at this point in writing. A major trade cycle that started from 89.20 on January 06, 2021, looks complete at 108.30 as bears are ready to come back in control.
The US dollar index has carved a major upswing between 89.20 and 108.30 as it hits a strong resistance zone. The potential remains for a bearish reaction here that could drag prices lower towards the 101.00 support at least. Also, note that the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement also passes through 101.00 as projected on the daily chart.
The US dollar index is supported at around 103.15 as well and a break there would be seen as the initial sign of a potential trend reversal ahead. Bears are also creating a potential pinbar/shooting star candlestick pattern. If successful, the next big move would be lower towards 101.00 at least. The possibility remains for a further drag towards 96.50 as well.
The US dollar index needs to produce a meaningful larger-degree retracement after terminating a religious 18-month rally between 89.20 and 108.30. Furthermore, the recent rally towards 108.30 has also been accompanied by bearish divergence on the daily RSI as seen on the chart here. A strong possibility remains for a turn from here.
Potential drop towards 101.00 against 109.00
Good luck!
英鎊/美元匯率在星期三維持其上升趨勢,這一動向已經持續了過去的兩週。回顧美國和中國削減互相關稅115%的消息引發了最近一次的美元強勢。
週三,歐元/美元貨幣對繼續保持著冷靜而穩定的上升趨勢。價格突破了之前多次未能超越的1.1267水平,並形成了一條新的上升趨勢線。
週二,EUR/USD貨幣對大多數時間都呈現橫盤整理。不同於週一,交易員沒有正式的理由去拋售美元,然而這一行為最近時常發生。
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