澳元/美元
昨天,澳元在价格通道嵌入线的阻力和38.2%修正水平(日线图上为61.8%)上作了虚假的退出,这增强了其下跌的可能性。 随着克服MACD线的支撑位0.6875,我们正在价格通道线接近123.6%斐波那契水平的0.6816处等待价格。 马林振荡器显示出从增长区域边界开始的定性向下反转。
在四小时的图表上,昨天的价格上涨形成了逆转收敛。 MACD线上的价格正在发展。 马林振荡器不敢去空头的领土。
一个制约因素是今天关于中国经济的数据:第四季度GDP预期为6.0%,12月工业生产同比增长6.9%,而预期为5.9%,固定资产投资增长同比从5.2% 增长至5.4%。 11月零售销售同比增长8.0%,而预期将下降至7.9%。 现在取决于美国的工业生产和建筑数据。 由于本周纽约和费城的商业活动指数比预期的要好,因此有可能获得有关工业生产的更好数据。 预测不是很乐观:-0.2 / 0.0%。
昨日來自德國的數據超出預期。三月份的工業生產增加了3.0%,而此前預測為0.9%,二月份則下降了1.3%。
預計歐元/英鎊貨幣對將逆轉其下行趨勢並開始上漲。自4月11日以來的楔形下降顯然具有調整結構,並且這一下行走勢已顯示出首次疲軟和觸底的跡象。
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