最新的临时政府关闭,贸易冲突和全球经济增长放缓 - 在此背景下,美国经济第一季度的前景并不乐观。然而,2019年前三个月的GDP数据可能会出人意料。在此期间中国经济意外增长之后,预计美国将增长2.1%,尽管之前分析师的估计范围从1%开始。在亚特兰大联邦储备银行的预测中,范围更加乐观,介于2.2%和3.4%之间。如果最近大多数专家谈到美国经济的疲软,现在他们预计第一季度将出现强劲增长。此外,公司增加了投资,3月份,该国的零售额增长速度达到了1.5年来的最快速度 - 所有这些都与经济衰退开始的版本相反。
2月份美国贸易逆差出乎意料地减少,也是增长率较高的证据,而且只有产量疲软 - 回想一下唐纳德特朗普当选后工业产出最近一季度的下降 - 可以解释如此广泛的推定。
美國市場顯示出不穩定的跡象。關於中美貿易衝突可能降溫的積極信號帶來了希望,但專家警告不要過於樂觀。
隨著對經濟增長放緩及貿易關稅影響的擔憂加劇,S&P 500和Nasdaq 100指數持續下滑。市場持續波動,投資者在不確定性加劇的環境中調整策略。
S&P 500 和 Nasdaq 再次下跌,此前唐納德·特朗普猛烈抨擊聯邦儲備系統。他的評論對央行的獨立性提出了質疑,加劇了市場對通脹的擔憂。
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