According to a study performed by the International Monetary Fund's experts, the strengthening of the US dollar is posing a threat to the global economy and could make the COVID-19 consequences even worse.
An unprecedented collapse in global demand and commodity prices, capital outflows and a general deficit in the global economy led to the depreciation of the currencies of emerging countries. As a result, the cost of imports rises while demand falls.
On the other hand, it can contribute to the growth of the competitiveness of exports from such countries. But export prices are set in the US dollars, so it will not be possible to stimulate the economy.
Despite the fact that the US government has provided trillions of the US dollars, the country's economy lost 37% in the second quarter of this year. According to some data, the US GDP may fall by 6.6%.
Experts warn that the unprecedented money printing is slowly killing the greenback. Aggressive incentives from the Federal Reserve could lead to a disaster. Former Fed's Chairman Paul Volcker points out that the government is responsible for the value of its currency.
Ray Dalio, a billionaire and founder of the world's largest investment fund Bridgewater Associates, noted that investors run away from the US government bonds because the bonds do not bring money and the issuers produce a lot of currency. In his opinion, this is pointless.
The main source of financing of the US budget deficit is to sell off government bonds. The US deficit, by the way, has reached almost three trillion dollars.
Well-known economist at Morgan Stanley investment bank Stephen Roach believes that the US dollar's dominance is coming to an end. The US has faced unprecedented fiscal and debt problems.
The expert believes that the American currency may depreciate by a third in 2021. The reason for this will be a sharp decline in household savings and an increase in the government debt against the background of a successful recovery from the crisis of the main US trading partners.
According to the Bank for International Settlements, the US dollar is quoted 33% above the 2011 lows. But in 2021, the American monetary unit in a moment may return to these lows, weakening by 35% amid the expected inflation.
Moreover, the country has a super soft monetary policy. There is no point to forget about large government borrowings. These two factors will inevitably hit the US dollar.
Micron Technology的股票延續其穩定的上漲趨勢,受到樂觀技術信號的支撐。投資者的目標價為117.34和137.12,令該股無論在短期還是中期都具有吸引力。
IBM 的股價持續攀升,技術圖表信號顯示其可能朝向 $265.90 水平發展。受到公司強勁表現和利好的技術背景的支持,投資者對該公司股票表現出興趣。
由於突破關鍵技術水平,Citigroup的股價正在穩步上漲,顯示有繼續上升的潛力。在金融行業出現穩定跡象的情況下,市場參與者認為該銀行的股票具有吸引力。
由於市場對華盛頓與北京貿易談判可能取得進展抱有樂觀情緒,美國股票指數正持續上升。投資者寄望最終達成協議,這可能緩解地緣政治緊張局勢,並為市場注入新的動力。
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