The US economic data had little impact and USD/JPY moves will be dominated by trade developments.
With markets looking for fresh impetus, the US economic data was oflittle importance to traders. The revised reading of the second-quarter GDP came in at 2.0% from the flash reading of 2.1% and in line with consensus forecasts, although consumer spending growth was revised upward.
Initial jobless claims increased to 215,000 from 211,000 previously, also in line with market expectations.
The goods trade deficit narrowed to $72.3bn in July from $74.2bn in the previous month as imports declined slightly on the month.
Treasuries edged lower after the data, but the 10-year yield was trapped below 1.50%.
USD/JPY hit resistance close to 106.40 and retreated to 106.25 with the US currency struggling to take advantage of gains in US equity futures. The overall yield structure will limit potential USD support with Japanese funds wary over funnelling capital overseas.
Trade rhetoric will continue to set the tone in the market in the short term. Although China has confirmed that US and Chinese trade teams have been conversing, it also stated that negotiations in September would be dependent on the right atmosphere to nurture constructive negotiations.
The dollar will get a short-lived boost if it is confirmed that the September negotiations in Washington will take place as scheduled. However, overall sentiment will inevitably remain fragile, especially given the threat of erratic rhetoric from President Trump. Trading volumes will also decline ahead of the US long weekend with Labor Day on Monday.
There will be very tough resistance on any USD/JPY approach to 106.75 with short-term support on approach to 105.70.
在週四的一整天裡,歐元/美元貨幣對進行了雙向交易。宏觀經濟背景豐富,但正如我們所預期的,它沒有產生決定性的影響。
星期四,英鎊/美元貨幣對的交易呈現低波動的橫向走勢。儘管有著繁忙的宏觀經濟日曆,市場如預期一樣忽視了大多數數據。
週四,EUR/USD 貨幣對只顯示了一種情況——完全不願意移動。儘管宏觀經濟日曆十分緊湊,但我們整天觀察到橫盤整理。
歐元/美元貨幣對在周三的一半時間內出現了上升趨勢。雖然這次歐元的最新「激增」尤其「令人印象深刻」,但很可能只是美元的又一次下跌。
EUR/USD 貨幣對在週三繼續上行,但僅是短暫的。在下午時段,歐元開始下跌,儘管缺乏支持此類變動的宏觀經濟因素。
週二,英鎊/美元貨幣對經歷了顯著增長,儘管背後並無明確的推動因素。週一,美元因為特定原因走強,但週二卻毫無原因地下跌,只因為這就是美元。
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